Wednesday, 11 November 2026

The School of the Unfortunate: Greek education spending and EU fiscal rules

 



Europe's fiscal rules now name which public shortfalls are exceptional. In Greece, the classroom is not one of them.

Joanna Demopoulou*

* Joanna Demopoulou holds a PhD in International Affairs and is a former Executive in Residence at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP). Her research examines the legal and institutional architecture of public authority and governance, focusing on how law structures, distributes, and constrains public authority across European and international institutions.

Photo: Greek parliament; photo credit A. Sivan, via Wikimedia Commons

 

On 9 October, EU finance ministers agreed that Greece may let its spending exceed the agreed path in order to strengthen energy security. Among the measures Greece intends to finance on that basis is a €45 million energy upgrade of 246 schools and childcare centres. The upgrade of a school building may count among the costs allowed to take spending above that path. The teacher who works inside it may not.

The decision landed in a school year already short of teachers, with pupils, students and teachers filling Athens' Syntagma Square and the steps of the Propylaea to say so. What the protests reject is a particular way of reading that shortage: that an empty desk belongs to the family that has to live with it, not to the state that was supposed to fill it.

Greek and European law answer that question from two different places. The Constitution gives the state a duty to provide education. The fiscal framework Greece operates under grants special treatment to other needs and leaves the shortfalls of education to ordinary budget management. What follows asks how those two answers coexist, and who ends up paying for the space between them.

The building and the teacher

Several weeks into the school year, the secondary teachers' federation OLME estimates that at least 15,000 teaching posts remain unfilled. In practice that means lost teaching hours, merged classes, more pupils in every room. The figure is the federation's estimate, not an official count, and official figures exist only for a smaller part of the system. For Greece's model and experimental schools, their own governing committee identified 473 staffing needs for 2026-27, to be met by substitute teachers in the hiring rounds: 199 in general primary, 190 in general secondary, the rest in special education. These are needs recorded at the start of the year, not posts shown to be empty today.

Energy upgrades are one kind of building need, and not the most urgent one everywhere. The music school of Vartholomio, in the western Peloponnese, has taught its pupils in prefabricated classrooms since 2008. Work on a new building began in 2023 and has not been finished. This autumn pupils and teachers began going home with bites from insects nobody has yet identified, with redness and itching; some were taken to hospital, and in-person teaching was suspended and moved online. According to a parliamentary question tabled by KKE MPs, the region's health directorate has since found the classrooms unfit. No European rule is involved here. Nor is Vartholomio alone: in three municipalities of Attica, a local teachers' association reported in September 2025 that 73 of 132 primary schools and kindergartens had at least some prefabricated classrooms.

Who pays

The gaps reach the subjects that decide university entry. At the general lyceum of Kythira, the Piraeus secondary teachers' union announced on 6 October uncovered hours in three nationally examined subjects, mathematics, chemistry and economics; a month into the year, final-year pupils had not been taught them. On Tilos, the mayor wrote to the ministry on 29 September that the five final-year pupils on the economics track had no economics teacher. Both accounts describe the situation as it stood when they were written; the posts may since have been filled.

Two cases do not make a statistic. According to ministry data reported by the Athens News Agency in early October, after two rounds of substitute hiring, 11 of 13 regions had covered close to all vacancies in exam-subject specialties. That is real progress. What Kythira and Tilos show is something the national figure cannot: what an uncovered post means to the pupils who are living through it, whose exam date does not move to accommodate them.

The Tilos letter adds a further detail. The island, the mayor noted, has no tutoring schools and none of the alternatives available elsewhere. It does not say what individual families did about that. What it establishes is narrower: the usual Greek remedy for a missing lesson, paying for it privately, presupposes a local market that does not exist everywhere. On Tilos, a family willing to pay would have to look beyond the island, or online.

Where that market does exist, its scale can be measured. An analysis by KANEP, the research institute of the Greek General Confederation of Labour, of ELSTAT's household budget survey found that Greek households spent almost €614 million on private tutoring in 2023, about 95% of it for secondary school pupils. In real terms the sum rose by about 36% between 2021 and 2023. Households in the three highest income groups devote 3.5 times as large a share of their consumption spending to tutoring as those in the three lowest. That is a comparison of shares, not amounts, and the gap has widened over the decade.

An unquantified part of that spending has nothing to do with missing teachers. Much of it answers the long-standing pressure of the entrance exams, preparation a family would buy regardless, on top of a school that works. Tutoring that replaces teaching the school owed is a different matter, and the figures cannot separate the two; nor does every vacancy become a private bill. What the figures do show is the channel that opens once a family decides to buy substitute teaching. That channel is open to those who can pay, and the gap in what households spend on it has been widening.

In late September, on live television, Greece's deputy foreign minister, Haris Theocharis, divided the country's parties into those that represent the kakomoirides, the unfortunate, and those, like his own New Democracy, that represent the noikokyrides, householders who manage their affairs responsibly. A few days later he said the phrase had been a mistake. The remark is party rhetoric, and it is read here as nothing more. The setting matters more than the remark. In a country that the Union's own surveillance found this spring no longer faces macroeconomic imbalances, continuing hardship is easily recoded as a private failing. The phrase gave that recoding a name. It did not invent it.

Private remedies make the recoding easy. Once a lesson has to be bought, a difference in results can be read as a difference in effort, or in how well a household manages its affairs. A pupil who falls behind after months without a teacher in an exam subject may come to be seen not as someone a public service failed, but as the unfortunate one in the class. Nothing here shows that this has happened to any particular pupil; what the arrangement does is make that reading available. There is a further possibility, though the figures cannot establish it: when a missing lesson becomes a private bill, a failure of public provision may also become less visible as a political problem.

Elsewhere I have described an informal constitution of access, in which rights are formally equal but worth different amounts in practice. In education the mechanism is more mundane, and for that reason more widespread. The right to free education belongs to everyone. When the state does not deliver it, what remains of the right depends on the family's purse, and on where the family lives.

Time that does not come back

A right can be lost through timing as surely as through denial. Writing in EU Law Live earlier this year about a Greek SLAPP case, I argued that delay can itself become the violation: a remedy that arrives after the harm is done protects very little. The analogy has limits; the standards that govern a defamation case do not transfer to schooling. What carries over is the question of effectiveness over time. A post filled in November does not return the weeks of syllabus lost in September and October, and on Kythira the union described a full month lost for the final year. For those pupils the national exams fall on a fixed date, and the time between an empty desk and that date is all there is. Teaching delivered late, for an examination that will not wait, delivers the right only in part.

The answer

On 21 October, the day of the nationwide education protest, Education Minister Sofia Zacharaki told the broadcaster ANT1 that her ministry hears the "real demands" of pupils and that occupying schools is no solution. She cited renovation work in 2,000 schools and €733 million for new student halls through public-private partnerships, along with 53,000 permanent teacher appointments made since 2019, which she said outnumber the retirements over the same period. She also conceded that more resources do not mean every need has been met.

The figure holds up. The Education Ministry's own Strategic Plan for Primary and Secondary Education 2025-2029 records 38,409 permanent appointments for 2019-2024 and a further 10,000 in 2025, and a later report from ERT puts the running total above 53,000. What the same plan shows, that the broadcast figure does not, is why a national total answers a different question. It separates organic vacancies, posts left empty, from functional gaps, which open when the teacher who holds a post is on leave, seconded elsewhere, or otherwise absent. Filling the first does nothing for the second. That is part of why the plan records 51,149 substitute hires in the single school year 2024-2025, alongside that year's permanent appointments, though not all of them replaced an absent teacher, since the total also covers programmes such as parallel support. A national hiring total, however large, cannot show whether a particular post, in a particular school, was filled when a particular class needed it. The ministry's planning document and the cases of Kythira and Tilos describe the same system from opposite ends, and only the second tells a pupil whether there will be a teacher in the room.

On 5 November the Commission presented the EU Teachers Agenda (COM(2026) 795), a proposal for a Council recommendation on teaching careers and working conditions. A July preparatory document for the wider package described such actions as "not legally binding". The October Council recommendation on Greece's expenditure path does something else: it permits specified energy-security spending to exceed that path. For the ordinary cost of teachers, no comparable exception exists.

The numbers

Greece spends less on education than almost anywhere in Europe. According to Eurostat, general government expenditure on education in 2024 stood at 3.9% of GDP in Greece, against 4.8% for the EU. As a share of total public spending, education took 8.2% in Greece, the second-lowest share in the Union after Italy. The OECD's Education at a Glance 2026 puts total expenditure on educational institutions, from public and private sources, at $8,600 per lower secondary pupil in Greece in 2023, in purchasing-power terms, against an OECD average of $15,305 (Table C3.1).

None of this proves that every vacancy comes down to money. It does describe a system that has run below the European average for a long time, and has grown used to families making up the difference.

An exception with a list

In July 2025 the Council of the EU activated the national escape clause of the Stability and Growth Pact for 15 member states, Greece among them. The clause runs for four years and allows a deviation of up to 1.5% of GDP from the agreed net expenditure path, provided the excess is due to higher defence spending. By February 2026 it had been activated for 17 states.

For Greece, the list has since grown. A Council recommendation, proposed by the Commission in September and agreed by finance ministers on 9 October, extends Greece's clause to eligible measures that strengthen energy security, capped at 0.3% of GDP a year and 0.6% in total, within the overall 1.5% ceiling. Among the envisaged measures, the recommendation mentions energy upgrades of public buildings.

Three things should be kept apart. The clause permits a deviation; it funds nothing, and whether a given measure qualifies is for the Commission to assess. The school upgrades are paid for from national resources and would be lawful spending with or without the clause. And nothing in the clause prevents Greece from paying for teachers out of its regular budget. What the clause decides is narrower, and for that reason easy to miss: which costs may push spending above the agreed path without consequences under the fiscal rules.

None of this is an argument against defence or energy spending. In a week of Turkish navigational warnings south of Rhodes and east of Crete, that argument would be naive. Nor is there evidence that the clause took teachers out of classrooms; Greece's budget is decided in Athens, not in Brussels.

Who decides what is exceptional

The legal basis is Article 26 of Regulation (EU) 2024/1263. It allows a member state to deviate from its expenditure path where exceptional circumstances outside its control have a major impact on its public finances, provided fiscal sustainability over the medium term is not endangered. The Council decides, on a recommendation from the Commission, at the request of the member state itself.

The strongest objection to this argument follows directly from that text, and as far as it goes, it is correct. A war on the Union's border or an energy shock can be described as outside a state's control. A chronic shortage of teachers cannot. It is the kind of problem a government is expected to solve through ordinary budgeting, and the clause is designed to keep it there. Defence and a teacher shortage are not legally comparable circumstances.

Take the objection at its strongest, and the question still stands. Two legal texts now speak about the same school. The Greek Constitution, in Article 16, makes education a basic mission of the state and gives every Greek the right to free education at every level, in state institutions. The European fiscal framework recognises defence and, for Greece, energy security as needs that may lawfully exceed the ceiling. The two texts regulate different things. Treating one need differently from another under the fiscal rules does not, by itself, create a legal contradiction with the Constitution, and the Constitution does not entitle education to a fiscal exception.

The difference matters all the same, because three separate questions are in play, and each is answered in a different place. The first is legal obligation: whose duty is it to teach? The Constitution answers that it is the state's. The second is fiscal eligibility: which spending may exceed the agreed limits? Article 26 sets the general conditions, and the Council's individual recommendations apply them. Ordinary staffing falls outside. The third is actual access: what happens to a pupil when the lesson is not provided? No text answers that. It is settled in practice, by what families can afford and by what is available where they live, and for some, as on Tilos, private replacement is hardly available at all.

That is an institutional asymmetry, not a breach. The need the national constitution names as a basic mission has no fiscal standing comparable to the needs the Union has agreed to treat as exceptional, and every teacher hired has to fit under a ceiling that two other needs may lawfully exceed.

Nor is the list drawn by Brussels alone. The clause is activated at the request of the member state. Greece asked for flexibility for defence in April 2025 and for energy security in August 2026. Both requests were political choices about which needs to present as exceptional, made within the categories the Union was prepared to accept. An exception for teachers was never part of that conversation, and under Article 26 as it stands, it is doubtful that a request for one could succeed. The rules set no formal hierarchy of public needs. In practice, as Europe rearms for the rest of this decade, the needs allowed to exceed the spending limits are being named one decision at a time: defence in 17 member states, energy security in Greece. The classroom is not among them.

What the students refuse

What a right is worth depends not only on its wording but on how institutions classify its shortfalls: as exceptional or ordinary, as the state's failure or the user's misfortune. The pupils and students who camped in Syntagma refuse the second term of each pair. They are asking that a teacher's empty desk and a crumbling building be treated as gaps left by the state in meeting a constitutional obligation, not as the misfortune of families that could not cover them.

A state can hold a constitutional duty to educate and operate under a fiscal framework that grants exceptions to other needs without any contradiction appearing in the texts. The strain shows elsewhere: in a final-year class on an island with no economics teacher and no tutoring school, in a music school that has spent eighteen years in prefabricated classrooms, and in the household budgets of families who can buy what the school did not provide. On paper, the missing lesson remains the state's to provide. In practice it has become the family's to buy, where a family can buy it, and it is simply absent where it cannot. The classroom does not need a place on Europe's list of exceptions; it needs the ordinary budget to reach it. Until it does, Greek law will go on assigning the duty to the state while the cost settles somewhere else.

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