Wednesday, 21 May 2025

Towards a Euro-Rwanda policy? The proposed new EU asylum law rules on ‘safe third countries’

 



Professor Steve Peers, Royal Holloway University of London

Photo credit: Home Office, via Wikimedia Commons – the former Home Secretary meets Rwanda’s foreign minister

Introduction

An unlawful attempt to remove asylum-seekers to an unsafe country that they had no connection with, in breach of basic human rights – as confirmed by the Supreme Court. A desperate attempt to overturn the Supreme Court ruling by an Act of Parliament (the ‘Safety’ of Rwanda Act), declaring the dodgy country to be ‘safe’, regardless of reality. Ultimately, the cancellation of the policy by a new government, the previous government having squandered hundreds of millions of pounds on its unlawful obsession.

The flaws with the UK’s Rwanda policy were so huge, they must have been visible from outer space. But were they visible to the European Union?

Yesterday’s proposal from the EU Commission to amend EU asylum law would provide, in effect, for the development of a form of Euro-Rwanda policy, by widening the concept of ‘safe third country’ to include countries that asylum-seekers have no link with whatsoever. We don’t know yet whether EU Member States and the European Parliament will agree to it, but even tabling the proposal raises fundamental questions. Has the EU learned the lessons of the UK’s failed policy? Or is it poised to follow the previous UK government, lemming-like, by leaping into the same financial, legal and moral abyss?

EU legal framework

Current legislation

The definition of ‘safe third country’ for the EU is currently set out in Article 38 of the EU’s asylum procedures Directive. (This is about the ‘safety’ of non-EU countries, ie it is distinct from the EU Member States regarding each other as ‘safe’ countries, under the Dublin rules). It’s only an option for Member States to apply these rules, not a requirement; the Commission’s staff working document alongside the new proposal details which Member States use the concept, and how they use it.

First, Article 38(1) defines what makes a country ‘safe’. The ‘safe third country’ concept can ‘only’ be applied if Member States are satisfied that certain ‘principles’ are ensured for asylum-seekers in that country: (a) ‘life and liberty are not threatened on account of race, religion, nationality, membership of a particular social group or political opinion’; (b) ‘there is no risk of serious harm as defined in’ the EU qualification Directive; (c) ‘the principle of non-refoulement in accordance with the Geneva [Refugee] Convention is respected’; (d)  ‘prohibition of removal, in violation of the right to freedom from torture and cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment as laid down in international law, is respected’; and (e) ‘the possibility exists to request refugee status and, if found to be a refugee, to receive protection in accordance with the Geneva Convention’. According to the CJEU, Hungarian law breached the Directive, as it did not set out these guarantees fully (Cases C‑564/18, paras 29-51 of the judgment; Joined Cases C-924/19 and C-925/19 PPU, paras 148-165; and Case C‑821/19).

Secondly, Article 38(2) requires Member States to subject the application of the ‘safe third country’ rule to national law rules, including: (a) ‘requiring a connection between the applicant and the third country concerned on the basis of which it would be reasonable for that person to go to that country’; (b) ‘rules on the methodology by which the competent authorities satisfy themselves that the safe third country concept may be applied to a particular country or to a particular applicant. Such methodology shall include case-by-case consideration of the safety of the country for a particular applicant and/or national designation of countries considered to be generally safe’; and (c) ‘rules in accordance with international law, allowing an individual examination of whether the third country concerned is safe for a particular applicant which, as a minimum, shall permit the applicant to challenge the application of the safe third country concept on the grounds that the third country is not safe in his or her particular circumstances’. Also, an asylum-seeker must ‘be allowed to challenge the existence of a connection between him or her and the third country’, as referred to in point (a). According to the CJEU in the cases mentioned above, mere transit through a country was not sufficient to create a ‘connection’.

Next, Article 38(4) addresses what happens if the supposedly ‘safe’ country does not readmit the asylum-seeker:

Where the third country does not permit the applicant to enter its territory, Member States shall ensure that access to [the asylum] procedure is given in accordance with the basic principles and guarantees described in Chapter II. [ie an ‘ordinary’ examination of the merits of an asylum claim]

Interpreting this guarantee, last year the CJEU ruled that asylum applications could not be found inadmissible where the supposedly ‘safe’ country was refusing to readmit the asylum-seekers.

There are also special rules for unaccompanied minors: Article 25(6) of the Directive permits Member States to apply the current version of the special border procedure to unaccompanied minors in ‘safe third countries’ cases (among others); but in any case, they may only apply the ‘safe third country’ rule to unaccompanied minors if that is ‘in the minor’s best interests’.

The practical relevance of applying the ‘safe third country’ notion in the current law is (among other things) that it is a ground of inadmissibility under Article 33 of the Directive. And if the case is inadmissible, the asylum application is not further considered on the merits and has failed in that Member State (subject to an appeal of the inadmissibility decision, which has suspensive effect in ‘safe third countries’ cases). If any appeal fails, the failed asylum-seeker can then deprived of support as an asylum seeker under the reception conditions Directive and detained and removed under the Returns Directive. Of course, the impact of this is in theory ameliorated in ‘safe third country’ cases because the supposedly ‘safe’ country will readmit the person concerned and consider their asylum application properly – although this does not always happen in practice. ‘Safe third country’ cases can also be dealt with in the current version of the special border procedure, subject to further conditions.

Future rules: the asylum pact

The ‘safe third country’ rule in EU asylum law is already set to be amended once the asylum procedures Regulation, which is a major part of the asylum pact, becomes applicable, to applications made from June 2026. Yesterday’s proposal would amend that asylum pact law, but we can only understand the proposal’s impact in light of what the asylum pact law provides for.

First of all, although the 2024 Regulation overall entails more harmonisation of national law on asylum procedure, it leaves the ‘safe third country’ rule optional for Member States.

Secondly, Article 59(1) of that Regulation retains essentially the same definition as in the current Directive about the ‘safety’ of the country concerned, except that there is no longer a requirement that the country ensure the possibility of obtaining status under the Refugee Convention; it is sufficient that the asylum-seeker could seek ‘effective protection’ as further defined in the Regulation (Article 57): this means that either the Refugee Convention applies, or at least the person concerned has the chance to remain on the territory with subsistence support, health-care, education and ‘effective protection’ until a ‘durable solution’ is found.

The preamble clarifies the meaning of ‘effective protection’:

access to means of subsistence sufficient to maintain an adequate standard of living should be understood as including access to food, clothing, housing or shelter and the right to engage in gainful employment, for example through access to the labour market, under conditions not less favourable than those for non-nationals of the third country generally in the same circumstances.

Next, in place of a reference to national law as regards the methodology of defining ‘safe third countries’, there is a standard rule (Article 59(3)):

The assessment of whether a third country may be designated as a safe third country in accordance with this Regulation shall be based on a range of relevant and available sources of information, including information from Member States, the Asylum Agency, the European External Action Service, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, the Council of Europe and other relevant international organisations.

The application of the ‘safe third country’ rule is still limited by the requirement of an individual examination and showing a connection with the country, ie it ‘may only be applied provided that’ (Article 59(5)):

a)       the applicant cannot provide elements justifying why the concept of safe third country is not applicable to him or her, in the framework of an individual assessment;

b)      there is a connection between the applicant and the third country in question on the basis of which it would be reasonable for him or her to go to that country.

As regards a ‘connection’, the preamble states that:

The connection between the applicant and the safe third country could be considered established in particular where members of the applicant’s family are present in that country or where the applicant has settled or stayed in that country.

Furthermore, the preamble goes on to state that the ‘safe third country’ principle should not be applied to anyone with rights under EU free movement law, or the EU’s family reunion Directive.

The applicant must still be given access to the procedure if the supposedly ‘safe’ country does not admit or readmit them (Article 59(9); Article 38(1)(b) likewise says that the application cannot be inadmissible on ‘safe third country’ grounds, if ‘it is clear that’ they will not be admitted or readmitted to that country’). The current information and documentation requirements are maintained (Article 59(8)).

As for unaccompanied minors, they are still not exempted from ‘safe third country’ rules, but there are additional conditions before the rule can apply to them (Article 58(6)):

A third country may only be considered to be a safe third country for an unaccompanied minor where it is not contrary to his or her best interests and where the authorities of Member States have first received from the authorities of the third country in question the assurance that the unaccompanied minor will be taken in charge by those authorities and that he or she will immediately have access to effective protection as defined in Article 57.

The preamble states that when considering applying the rule to unaccompanied minors, authorities should ‘in particular’ examine ‘the availability of sustainable appropriate care and custodial arrangements’. Interpreting a similar provision in the Returns Directive, the CJEU has ruled that unaccompanied minors cannot be removed unless these guarantees are provided for. Moreover, it should be noted that under the asylum pact it will not be possible to subject unaccompanied minors to the new version of the borders procedure on ‘safe third country’ grounds.

In addition to retaining or amending the existing ‘safe third country’ rules, there are several new relevant elements in the asylum procedures Regulation. First of all, Article 59(2) now provides that a non-EU country can be designated as ‘safe…with exceptions for specific parts of its territory or clearly identifiable categories of persons’. On this point, the CJEU has recently confirmed that, as regards the principle of ‘safe countries of origin’, the current law does not allow exceptions for parts of a country; conversely an Advocate-General’s opinion in a pending case (Alace) argues that the current law does allow for that principle to apply with exceptions for groups of people. We do not yet have a judgment in the latter case; but presumably the interpretation in the former judgment (and the latter judgment, when we have it) applies by analogy to the ‘safe third country’ rule. So to allow Member States to use these exceptions already as regards both ‘safe country’ rules, the Commission has separately already proposed the early application of these provisions of the Regulation. It remains to be seen if this proposal is agreed. The asylum procedures Regulation also allows the ‘safe third country’ rule to be applied to an individual applicant (Article 59(4)(b)); the Commission has not proposed to apply this bizarre rule early.

Next, the Regulation now provides that the EU and a particular non-EU country can agree a treaty which provides that ‘migrants admitted under that agreement will be protected in accordance with the relevant international standards and in full respect of the principle of non-refoulement’. In that case the existence of a ‘safe third country’ will be presumed – but this is ‘without prejudice’ to the guarantees for unaccompanied minors, a ‘connection’ requirement and an individual examination.

It will also be possible to have a common EU list of ‘safe third countries’, adopted by means of a further legislative amendment (Article 60); but removals of countries from that common list due to changes in circumstances can be fast-tracked (Article 63), and such removals from the list will limit Member States from designating that country as ‘safe’ for two years (Article 64).

As for the broader impact of the ‘safe third country’ rule in the asylum pact, such applications remain inadmissible; but the 2024 Regulation now specifies a time limit to make decisions on inadmissible cases (two months). Appeals in ‘safe third country’ cases still have suspensive effect. The revised version of the special border procedure (including a new deadline to decide on applications within 12 weeks, including appeals) will apply to ‘safe third country’ cases (except for unaccompanied minors, as noted already); and the asylum pact explicitly provides that being subject to the border procedure is a ground for detention.

The new proposal

When negotiating the asylum procedures Regulation, the more liberal MEPs fought off attempts to make the ‘safe third country’ rules broader – but there was a catch. The trade-off was a clause providing for a review of these rules by June 2025, by which point the European Parliament had moved to the right after its 2024 election. Hence yesterday’s (slightly early) proposal.

The new proposal will not apply to Denmark (so Denmark’s own Rwanda policy is irrelevant). Ireland can choose whether to opt in or out; for Ireland, the proposal is particularly relevant to its designation of the UK as a ‘safe third country’.

As for the content, first of all, the proposal leaves a number of provisions of the asylum pact ‘safe third country’ rules unchanged. The principle is still optional for Member States; there are no changes to the definition of ‘safety’; the procedure to designate countries as ‘safe’ is the same; there must still be an individual examination; the rule still cannot be applied if the country concerned will not admit or readmit the asylum-seeker; the conditions for applying the rule to unaccompanied minors still apply; there are still possible exceptions for parts of a country or groups of people; the rule can still be targeted on individuals; there is still a possibility for treaties between the EU and non-EU countries and for a common EU list (the Commission has not proposed to use either clause); and the rules on inadmissibility and border procedures still apply.  

However, there are two changes to the rules. The first change is to add to the ‘connection’ criterion for designation. A country could also be designated as ‘safe’ if:

-          the applicant has transited through the third country concerned; or

-          there is an agreement or an arrangement with the third country concerned requiring the examination of the merits of the requests for effective protection made by applicants subject to that agreement or arrangement

Further provisions on unaccompanied minors would specify that when applying any of these conditions (including the ‘connection’ clause) ‘the best interests of the child shall be a primary consideration’. This adds nothing to the ‘best interests’ clause already in Article 58(6). But more concretely, the proposal exempts unaccompanied minors from the possibility of being sent to a country that they neither have a connection with nor transited through. Although this does leave the new prospect of sending an unaccompanied minor to a country that they have only transited through, this new possibility will be subject to the safeguard in the 2024 Regulation of an ‘assurance that the unaccompanied minor will be taken in charge by those authorities and that he or she will immediately have access to effective protection’.

The proposal requires Member States to inform the Commission and other Member States about arrangements or agreements they enter into; it is not clear whether such an agreement or arrangement could be negotiated with the EU as a whole, or how it might relate to countries which the EU might sign with non-EU countries, referred to in Article 58(7).

The second change is to drop the requirement of suspensive effect of appeals in ‘safe third country’ cases. This would still leave asylum-seekers in such cases with a fallback guarantee: the Regulation states that for appeals without suspensive effect, there must still be at least five days for an asylum-seeker to request a court to grant suspensive effect. The asylum-seeker cannot be removed during that grace period, or pending the court’s decision on such a request.

Although, as noted already, the proposal would not change the rules on inadmissibility or border procedures, it would mean that a greater percentage of asylum-seekers might fall within the scope of such rules, given the additional scope to apply the ‘safe third country’ principle.

Comments

In addition to adding a transit criterion to the ‘safe third country’ rule, which would particularly important to the EU’s near neighbours (including the UK, given that asylum-seekers sometimes transit the UK on the way to Ireland), the proposal would add a fully-fledged ‘Rwanda clause’ to EU asylum law: asylum-seekers could be sent to a country which they neither have a connection with nor have transited to.

The text of the proposal encompasses both versions of the previous UK government’s Rwanda policy: ‘agreement or an arrangement’ covers both the treaty which the UK and Rwanda agreed after the Supreme Court struck the policy down, and the more informal arrangements agreed before that.

On the other hand, unlike the UK’s Rwanda policy, there is no rule in EU law that the applications from asylum-seekers who entered illegally are inadmissible; that is not a ground for inadmissibility of an asylum application under EU law (even after this proposal), and indeed EU law still requires that the ‘safe third country’ rule (in any EU version) cannot apply unless the country concerned admits or readmits the asylum-seeker. Equally, as confirmed by the CJEU, an application cannot be regarded as inadmissible in such circumstances. Logically, this should apply where (as in the UK/Rwanda situation) a supposedly ‘safe’ country obviously lacks the capacity to take all the asylum-seekers that might theoretically be sent to it under a treaty – even if the numbers that could be sent there are nominally uncapped by the treaty – especially where the treaty leaves that country with a discretionary power to accept or reject any asylum-seeker that the other country might want to send there.

Nor does the EU’s Regulation – or any national law implementing it – benefit from the UK principle of parliamentary sovereignty, which would have presumably protected the UK’s Safety of Rwanda Act – which deemed Rwanda to be safe despite the UK Supreme Court ruling – from being struck down by the courts. While the Regulation does not expressly state that the designation of a ‘safe third country’ can be challenged as such, it would surely be a breach of Article 47 of the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights to prevent such a challenge. (By analogy, the most recent CJEU judgment on ‘safe countries of origin’ (discussed above) said that Article 47 of the Charter applied to such challenges; and the pending Alace case has implicitly raised this question again). Certainly, it is hard to imagine the CJEU, or (one would hope) national courts in the EU, accepting anything like the UK’s explicit ban on any judicial review of the designation of ‘safety’, coupled with (mostly) disapplying national and international human rights law.

In contrast, both the Regulation and the UK’s Act do allow asylum-seekers to challenge whether a country is ‘safe’ in their particular circumstances – although the EU’s version of this possibility (‘elements justifying why the concept of safe third country is not applicable to him or her’) appears rather broader than the UK’s (‘compelling evidence relating specifically to the person’s particular individual circumstances’).

The EU proposal is broader than the failed UK policy in one respect: it is not limited to illegal entrants. The only asylum-seekers excluded from the possible application of a Euro-Rwanda treaty are unaccompanied minors. (Member States might be tempted to ‘time out’ their protection, ie send them to Rwanda etc as soon as they turn 18; but there are deadlines to decide on asylum applications in EU law, and CJEU case law has rejected attempts to ‘time out’ unaccompanied minors in other asylum contexts, focussing on how old they were when they applied for asylum)

Another obvious, and fundamental, issue is the willingness of non-EU countries to accept those who have transited through the territory, or to enter into agreements or arrangements as referred to in the proposal. The previous UK government travelled the world – falsely briefing the press along the way – before it found a foreign government willing to do an asylum deal with it. Even then, and despite sending huge sums of British taxpayer money to Rwanda, there were questions about the capacity there compared to the numbers of asylum-seekers who could have been subject to the UK’s Rwanda policy. Will EU Member States have any greater success finding a non-EU country that is willing and able to take their asylum-seekers – and which is also genuinely safe? (One would expect any Member State literally doing a deal with Rwanda itself to be challenged in court, with the challengers referring to the arguments which persuaded the UK Supreme Court)

It should be recalled that countries have no underlying obligation to take back non-citizens who have transited their territory – and still less to take those who have never been anywhere near it. They might agree to a treaty which requires them to admit people who passed through the territory, or whom they gave a visa or residence permit too, as EU readmission treaties with non-EU countries usually require (see the EU-Albania readmission treaty, for instance). But even then there is a question of evidence to prove that they were there; and the non-EU countries concerned only agreed to these treaties on the basis of a quid pro quo (such as visa facilitation, or the promise of eventual visa waivers). While the EU’s readmission treaties would be relevant to the first new ground of defining ‘safe third countries’ (ie transit countries), they would obviously not be relevant to the second new ground, as they do not include rules on processing asylum applications.

(By the way, ‘Rwanda clauses’ obviously cannot be defended based on the often-heard claim that ‘asylum seekers ought to apply in the first safe country’. By definition, Rwanda policies apply to countries that the asylum-seeker has not passed through, and probably was never even close to: the journey from (say) Afghanistan to the EU or the UK passes nowhere near Rwanda.)

Compared to the ‘safe third country’ proposals for non-EU countries, the EU’s Dublin system is built upon mutual trust between EU Member States, which are subject to many human rights obligations (and, for most Member States, harmonised rules of EU asylum law). It has criteria to determine which Member State is responsible for an asylum application; binds Member States to accept asylum-seekers they are responsible for under the rules; and includes detailed provisions on the process of transferring asylum-seekers to the responsible Member State, including rules on evidence. And even then, there are significant problems with applying the Dublin system in practice – including as regards the principle of mutual trust.

None of these features are present between EU Member States and non-EU countries, and it would take some time to develop them – on top of the issue of political willingness of the non-EU countries to sign up, and the fundamental question of whether those countries are ‘safe’ at all. While the Commission’s proposal does not reproduce all the features of the UK’s failed policy, it is similar enough to raise comparable questions about its feasibility, and – if Member States also try to override court rulings about the safety of the countries concerned – its legality and morality too.

No comments:

Post a Comment