Steve Peers
There’s no doubt that the United Kingdom Independence Party
(UKIP) has been gaining increased support in recent years, not least because of
its policies on immigration – which are linked intrinsically with its intention
to withdraw from the European Union.
Undoubtedly leaving the EU would leave the UK free to
regulate fully the movement of people coming from the remaining EU. But what
would that actually mean in practice? We have some indications today from the party’s
immigration spokesman.
Border controls
UKIP would have a UK-only lane at border crossings, with EU
citizens having to wait with all other nationalities in the slow lane. This
would violate current EU law, but of course UKIP want the UK to leave the EU.
So of course this plan is perfectly feasible in principle, and indeed it’s the
logical consequence of leaving the EU.
But UKIP don’t mention the further consequence: if EU
citizens have to wait in the slow lane when entering the UK, UK citizens will likewise
have to wait in the slow lane when entering the remaining EU countries. Indeed,
this is just one of the many complications for British citizens that would result
from leaving the EU, which I detailed in a post on this blog earlier this year. So any time
UK citizens might save being fast-tracked as they return to the country would
be lost every time they visit the EU.
Perhaps UKIP would tell us that we shouldn’t visit Europe so
much, but instead have our holidays in the UK. This reminds me of a UKIP activist I met
a few years back, who was personally boycotting all European food and drink. If she hasn’t
actually starved to death by now, she’s surely leading a pretty miserable life.
Asylum
UKIP’s immigration spokesman is quoted as saying:
"UKIP will support
the measures to abolish the provisions of the Dublin Treaty, that says that we
cannot choose to identify the country an illegal migrant comes from if they do
not have any identifying documents. We will send you back."
First of all, the Dublin Regulation isn’t a treaty, it’s a
Regulation. But if the UK left the EU, as UKIP propose, we wouldn’t be subject
to the Dublin rules as such, unless we indeed signed a treaty with the EU to
that effect. The EU has been willing to sign such treaties with non-member
states: Norway, Iceland, Switzerland and Liechtenstein. (It’s also signed such
a treaty with one of its members – Denmark – for complicated legal reasons).
Would the EU as a whole be willing to sign such a treaty with
the UK? We can be nearly certain that they would not. The EU has only been willing
to sign such treaties with Norway et al because those states not only have free
movement of people with the EU, but also are associated with the Schengen rules
abolishing border controls. It’s not politically realistic to abolish those
controls without having rules on allocation of asylum seekers. Indeed, the first
appearance of the Dublin rules was as part of the original Schengen Convention
of 1990.
If the UK left the EU, it would not be part of the Schengen
system. Indeed the UK doesn’t participate in Schengen already, and there’s no
realistic prospect that it will ever do so. And since UKIP loathes immigration
from the EU so much, there would not be free movement either. While the EU
might nevertheless conceivably be willing to extend the Dublin rules to
neighbouring countries (like Serbia, for instance) if that would reduce the
number of asylum-seekers reaching the EU, a Dublin treaty with the EU would
have exactly the opposite effect.
Could the UK sign side deals with individual EU countries?
For instance, could it send asylum-seekers to France or Greece on the basis of
bilateral agreements? No. It’s clear by analogy from the case law of the CJEU
(such as its very recent judgment on broadcasting rights) that the EU as a
whole has exclusive competence over the allocation of asylum-seekers as between
EU Member States and third countries. In fact, in light of that recent
judgment, the EU might well have exclusive external competence over all asylum
matters.
The EU can delegate its exclusive competence back to Member
States. But if the UK leaves the EU, it’s fair to predict that hell
would freeze over before the Commission proposed to allow Member States to sign
such a deal, or (if it did) that the EP and Council would approve the idea, or
that Member States would want to make use of such powers as regards the UK.
In those circumstances, it would not be possible to send
asylum-seekers to any EU Member States. And
since the immigration status of airplane passengers from third countries is
closely controlled by carrier sanctions, the main route for asylum-seekers to get to the UK is
indeed via land though the EU. Although perhaps UKIP believe that since climate
change isn’t happening, it might soon be viable to travel by land from Africa
to the UK.
The consequence of this is obvious: there would be more
asylum-seekers coming to the UK, not fewer, if the UK left the EU. While
refugee advocates would welcome this outcome, it’s clearly the opposite of what
UKIP wants to achieve. But perhaps we cannot expect too much policy coherence
from a party whose supporters believe that Jesus is on their side to deliver
them from EU tyranny.
[Photo(shop) credit: Jamie East]
Barnard & Peers: chapter 3
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