Friday, 14 February 2025

New Geo-Political Challenges and the Past and Future of EU-Greenland Relations

 


 

Ulla Neergaard, Professor of EU Law, University of Copenhagen

Photo credit: Gordon Leggett, via Wikimedia Commons 

 

*This contribution draws upon Ulla Neergaard’s forthcoming work, “‘Eurarctic’: Colonialism and EU-Greenland Relations” in Hanna Eklund's edited volume, “Colonialism and the EU Legal Order,” to be published by Cambridge University Press in 2025. For a more comprehensive understanding and complete references, readers are encouraged to consult that work, as well as e.g. Ulla Neergaard: “Shadows of Europe’s Colonial Past as Interwoven in EU Law” in Catherine Barnard, Adam Łazowski & Daniel Sarmiento (eds.): “The Pursuit of Legal Harmony in a Turbulent Europe. Essays in Honour of Eleanor Sharpston”, Hart Publishing, 2024

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The inauguration of President Trump in the beginning of 2025 and the events to follow have elevated Greenland’s position within the Danish Realm and the European Union (EU) to a prominent geo-political focus. These developments have included an interest in purchasing Greenland, accusations regarding Denmark’s ability to ensure Greenland’s security, and threats of military intervention and tariff war. In response, the EU and its Member States have expressed solidarity with Denmark, but the EU may now be forced to rethink its relationship with Greenland and, more broadly, with the Arctic in a much, much stronger strategic way than it has so far (see e.g. the analysis by André Gattolin).

            This renewed situation reflects a global shift in power dynamics amidst broader geo-political disruptions, drawing increased attention to Arctic issues, including the forthcoming elections in Greenland on 11 March 2025, where the independence movement is at the center of attention in the election campaigns. Such unsolicited scrutiny raises concerns for Greenland, Denmark, and the EU alike.

            In this context, it is particularly noteworthy that Denmark is a Member State of the EU, whereas its two autonomous entities, Greenland and the Faroe Islands, hold the status of an ‘overseas country and territory’ (OCT) and a ‘third country’, respectively. Unlike the Faroe Islands, Greenland has been recognized as a former colony of Denmark and has maintained formal relations with the EU since 1973. The relationship between Greenland and the EU, primarily mediated through Denmark, is thus rooted in a complex history that merges colonial legacies with modern geo-political interests. Grasping this relationship is essential in relation to the current challenges which however remains rather under-researched. Thus, the following discussion will present this complex history and will focus on the overall links between the EU and Greenland highlighting how Greenland went from being part of a Member State through Denmark to becoming an associated OCT and the main implications thereof. It will finally offer a few reflections and some future prospects.

 

 The Overall Historical Links between Greenland and Denmark

 

Geographically, Greenland is classified as part of North America; however, in many other aspects, its closest ties are with Denmark, placing it within the European context. The evolution of this relationship has been detailed in a report by the Greenlandic Constitutional Commission from 2023, which proposes a Constitution for Greenland. The report outlines several phases of colonialism: 1) ‘Initial Colonization’ (1721-1782); 2) ‘Parasitic Colonialism’ (1782-1830s) and ‘Classic Colonialism’ (1830s to 1908); 3) ‘Intensive Colonialism’ (1908 to 1953); 4) ‘Hidden Colonialism’ (1953-1979); 5) ‘Early Decolonization’ (1979-2009); and 6) ‘Matured Decolonization’ (2009-present).

            According to prevailing Danish narratives, Greenland is viewed as having originally belonged to the Danish Crown under the Kalmar Union since the fourteenth century but regarded as ‘properly’ colonized by Denmark in 1721, following the arrival of the Danish-Norwegian priest Egede. When the first Danish Constitution was adopted in 1849, Greenland retained its status as a colony and was not explicitly recognized as a separate entity within the Constitution.

            Following the conclusion of the Second World War and the establishment of the United Nations (UN) in 1945, it became evident that significant changes were underway regarding the colonial arrangements of European countries, which were increasingly deemed unacceptable. This shift notably affected the relations between Denmark and Greenland. In 1952, decisions were made that led to Greenland’s formal decolonization in 1953 through its integration into the Kingdom of Denmark. Unlike most other decolonization processes, this integration involved a connection with the metropole rather than a pursuit of independence. Crucially, although the idea of a constitutional right for Greenlandic self-determination was proposed at some stage, it was ultimately not included.  Greenland’s status then became, along with the Faroe Islands, what in Danish constitutional theory is commonly viewed as part of ‘Rigsfællesskabet’, which might be translated as the ‘community of the realm’ or ‘the commonwealth of the Danish State’. Against that background, Paragraph 1 of the Danish Constitution was (with effect from 1953) amended to read ‘This Constitutional Act shall apply to all parts of the Kingdom of Denmark’.

            The report from the Greenlandic Constitutional Commission emphasizes that the Greenlandic population was not invited to vote in the referendum concerning the new Danish Constitution. The absence of a referendum in Greenland was not only questioned but also criticized during UN negotiations; however, this criticism ultimately had no impact (see the report of the Danish Institute for International Studies). Consequently, on 9 September 1954, the UN acknowledged the requested change of status by adopting a resolution that removed Denmark from the list of colonial powers.

            Two significant events further stand out. The first occurred in 1979 when a ‘home rule’ framework was established following a referendum in which the majority of Greenlanders voted in favour of this governance model. The second pivotal event took place on 21 June 2009, when a new arrangement known as ‘self-rule’ was implemented. This change was also supported by a prior referendum, in which 75 percent of the population endorsed an enhanced version of home rule. Notably, the Act on Greenland’s Self-Governance outlines the process by which the people of Greenland can initiate a decision regarding their independence, although it requires the consent of the Danish Parliament.

 

 The Accession in 1973

 

Regarding the bonds with the EU, it is noteworthy that during the 1972 Danish referendum on membership in the European Community (EC), Greenland was not afforded the chance to hold a separate referendum. There was significant resistance in Greenland to EC accession, with a majority of Greenlanders voting against it. The isolated votes from Greenland were 4,062 in favor (‘Yes’) and 9,594 against (‘No’). However, unlike the Faroe Islands, Greenland – which at the time did not yet have a home rule arrangement – was required to accede as an integral part of Denmark in 1973.

            The referendum result has been seen as a significant catalyst for subsequent political initiatives as several Greenlandic politicians and commentators concluded that the unwanted foreign policy situation affecting Greenland could not be overlooked and necessitated political consequences. Consequently, the initial focus shifted to the future relationship between Greenland and Denmark, which was deemed essential for any further actions concerning the relationship with the EC.

 

 The Changed Status in 1985

 

A few years after the establishment of the home rule arrangement in 1979, a consultative and non-binding referendum took place in Greenland on 23 February 1982. The referendum sought to determine whether the EC Treaties should continue to apply in Greenland. It did not address the potential transition to an OCT status; rather, it focused solely on the question: ‘Do you want Greenland to remain a part of the European Communities?’ Additionally, the title of the Greenlandic act regarding the referendum clearly indicated that the primary concern was the continued application of the treaties governing the European Communities in Greenland.

            In the referendum, 32,391 individuals were eligible to vote. Among them, 12,615 voters, representing 52 percent of the total turnout, cast their ballots for ‘No,’ while 11,180 voters, or 46.1 percent, voted ‘Yes’ on the referendum’s question (and 470 votes were invalid). This resulted in a modest anti-EC majority. Although the Danish Government supported Greenland’s continued membership in the EC, it had previously stated that it would respect the referendum’s outcome. Following the results, the Danish Government, which held the authority in this matter, was asked to commence negotiations with the EC. Ultimately, Greenland's departure from the EC was formalised on 1 February 1985, transitioning to an OCT status instead.

            As mentioned above, the referendum in Greenland was concerned with whether Greenland should remain a part of the EC. However, it did not address the potential for Greenland to attain the status of an OCT. This omission may raise concerns that the decision ultimately reached may not fully align with the intended theme of the referendum as the view may be that Greenland did not withdraw from the EU as such but only changed status (see the thesis of Wessel Guersen on the territorial scope of the EU).

 

 Implications of the Current Status

 

The term OCT designates regions located outside the European Union (EU) that maintain historical, social, cultural, and/or political ties to an EU Member State. These territories do not possess sovereign status and international legal personality, and are placed in a unique position, as neither Member States nor third countries. Currently, OCTs are outlined in Annex II of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU).

            The overall implications of the OCT status became that Greenland to some degree remained related to the EC and subject to the applicability of some EC law (including some Treaty provisions). At that time, the legal framework of the OCT formula was adjusted to accommodate Greenland’s future re-association. Consequently, among others, a provision was added which is now Article 204 TFEU, affirming that the provisions regarding the OCTs are applicable in Greenland. Article 198 TFEU highlights the basic purpose of association as being to promote the economic and social development of the countries and territories, and to establish close economic relations between them and the Union as a whole, as well as to serve primarily to further the interests and prosperity of the inhabitants of these countries and territories to lead them to the economic, social and cultural development to which they aspire. Additionally, Article 200 TFEU specifies that customs duties on imports into the Member States of goods originating in the OCTs shall be prohibited in conformity with the prohibition of customs duties between Member States in accordance with the provisions of the Treaties. It also states that customs duties on imports into each OCT from Member States or other OCTs are prohibited, as outlined in Article 30 TFEU.

            The Council Decision on the Overseas Association, including Greenland holds significant importance, too. The essence of the interrelationship is articulated in its preamble, stating: ‘The TFEU and the secondary legislation adopted on the basis of it do not automatically apply to the OCTs, with the exception of a number of provisions which explicitly provide for their application. Although not third countries, the OCTs do not form part of the single market and must nevertheless comply with the obligations imposed on third countries in respect of trade, particularly rules of origin, health and plant health standards and safeguard measures.’ The Decision includes several provisions that place Greenland (and other OCTs) in a more advantageous position compared to third countries, and in some respects, they are treated similarly to Member States. Specifically, Article 44 of the Decision stipulates that products originating from Greenland (and other OCTs) can be imported into the EU without incurring import duties. Furthermore, Article 45 mandates that the EU shall not apply to imports of products originating in Greenland (and other OCTs) any quantitative restrictions or measures having equivalent effect. Consequently, as an OCT, Greenland enjoys direct access to the internal market without import restrictions, while also retaining the ability to implement customs or quantitative restrictions on imports from the EU, as outlined in Article 46 of the Decision. In addition, fishing has all along also been of importance (see the fisheries agreement with Greenland).

            Importantly, Greenlanders may be regarded as Union citizens, already because they are Danish citizens. Of interest in that regard is Article 20(1) TFEU stating that: ‘Citizenship of the Union is hereby established. Every person holding the nationality of a Member State shall be a citizen of the Union. Citizenship of the Union shall be additional to and not replace national citizenship.’ Reference may at the same time be made to the CJEU Eman and Sevinger judgment from 2006 saying that: ‘...persons who possess the nationality of a Member State and who reside or live in a territory which is one of the OCTs... may rely on the rights conferred on citizens of the Union...’ In a related context, the Charter of Fundamental Rights may be applicable when EU law is applied and/or implemented (see Kochenov and Geursens, ‘EU Law and the Overseas: General Principles’).

Notably, in 2021, the EU introduced its new Arctic policy, committing to enhanced engagement in the Arctic region to address various geo-political, environmental, economic, security, and social challenges, while also collaborating with others to seize emerging opportunities. Additionally, Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, visited both the Faroe Islands and Greenland last year. During her visit to Greenland, she inaugurated the EU Office in Nuuk, which aims to establish a tangible European presence in Greenland and the broader Arctic region. At the same time, President von der Leyen signed agreements with Greenlandic Prime Minister Múte Bourup Egede and Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, focusing on the EU-Greenland partnership, which amounts to nearly €94 million under the EU Global Gateway investment plan. This plan allocates €71.25 million for education and skills development and €22.5 million for green growth initiatives, including renewable energy, critical raw materials, and biodiversity conservation. The EU’s new Arctic policy also briefly addresses Greenland’s OCT status, highlighting that under the Overseas Association Decision, Greenland engages in extensive political and policy dialogue with the EU, benefits from preferential trade arrangements for accessing the EU market, and is one of the largest OCT recipients of EU support per capita, with €225 million allocated between 2021 and 2027.

As a final consideration, reference may be made to the mutual assistance clause of Article 42(7) TEU. This clause stipulates that if a Member State is the victim of armed aggression on its territory, the other Member States shall have towards it an obligation of aid and assistance by all the means in their power, in accordance with Article 51 of the United Nations Charter. Consequently, it raises the question of whether Greenland, as an OCT, in this context should be considered part of a Member State’s ‘territory’. This is likely to be the case (see, e.g., Geursen).  

 

 Reflections and Possible Future Prospects

 

The preceding discussion illustrates the connections between the EU and Greenland, primarily rooted in the relationship between the OCT, Greenland, and the Member State, Denmark. However, the bond between Denmark and Greenland is heavily influenced by a legacy of colonialism. Consequently, this may be central to the EU’s engagement with the Arctic and more specifically, Greenland. Thus, Greenland’s relationship with the EU - mediated through Denmark - is fundamentally linked to its OCT status, which pertains to former colonies. These connections can be seen as precarious, and the overall framework may be susceptible to potential backlash, as also indicated by recent events, even though it must also be taken into consideration that the general framework and thinking of today, after all, has changed.

The current implications of OCT status remain ambiguous, and the above discussions highlight that the existing relations between the EU and Greenland are marked by significant legal uncertainty and complexity. Looking ahead, the future of this relationship remains open to debate. Notably, a survey conducted in December 2024 indicated that 60% of Greenlandic citizens would support rejoining the EU, an increase from 40% in 2021. In this context, Danish MEP Morten Løkkegaard has recently proposed that Greenland should reconsider its EU membership.

            Consequently, it may be pertinent for Greenland (and possibly the EU, too) to explore various possibilities in light of current geopolitical events in the coming years, including especially the following three: 1) whether Greenland rather than keeping its OCT status would prefer to transition to an ‘Outermost Region’ (OR) status, which would entail a closer association with the EU (as the EU acquis applies in full unless the contrary is stated – see Kochenov and Geursen; 2) whether Greenland would wish to reattain its former full membership status alongside with Denmark; or 3) whether Greenland – if it were fully severing ties with Denmark to become a sovereign state, no longer bound by the Danish Constitution, which again would end its current relationship with the EU – would wish to seek a different relationship with the EU, potentially aspiring to become a Member State rather than being classified as a third country, which would otherwise be its EU-legal status.

            While intentionally abstaining from providing any kind of direct advice to Greenland (and eventually the EU) on the matter, it is important to acknowledge that the inter-relational platform, despite its current volatility as evidenced by the current tensions, may also possess positive aspects. Under all circumstances, ultimately, the difficult decisions to be made in the coming years will be more crucial than ever for the future of EU-Greenland relations.


Sunday, 9 February 2025

The Future of Temporary Protection in Türkiye: Return of Syrians after the Fall of Assad

 




Dr. Ayşe Dicle Ergin, Assistant Professor, Bilkent University Faculty of Law

 

Photo credit: Henry Ridgwell, Voice of America news, via Wikimedia Commons

 

As of today, the vast majority of approximately 2.8 million Syrians in Türkiye, having fled the conflict and civil war, are under temporary protection. This figure does not include the 73,331 Syrians with residence permits. The regime applicable to the temporary protection beneficiaries is set out in the Law No. 6458 on Foreigners and International Protection (LFIP) and the Temporary Protection Regulation (TPR).

 

Following the fall of the Assad regime, there has been an expectation that Syrians will soon return to their home country. However, a realistic assessment of the current situation is essential to avoid fostering misguided expectations. This blogpost will examine the meaning and scope of temporary protection, the conditions for its termination, voluntary return, and the circumstances under which Syrians may be able to return.

 

Temporary Protection

 

Temporary protection is a regime that enables states facing a mass influx of refugees to provide emergency intervention without conducting individual refugee status determination procedures. It addresses protection gaps by ensuring the fundamental rights of individuals fleeing armed conflict and guarantees protection against refoulement. This regime was originally conceived as a return-oriented protection mechanism.

 

Under the temporary protection regime, both refugees covered by Article 1A(2) of the 1951 Convention and individuals eligible for complementary protection within the broader context of forced migration are provided with legal protection. This regime aims to use the host country’s resources efficiently while avoiding the perception that beneficiaries will remain in the host country permanently. In this context, the general expectation and the most commonly preferred solution is the return of beneficiaries to their home countries.

 

The international protection regime is founded on specific principles and criteria established under international law, and it is accepted that these principles largely apply to temporary protection, with the principle of non-refoulement serving as a key criterion in this context. As outlined in Article 33 of the 1951 Convention, this principle prohibits the expulsion or return of refugees to territories where they would face a risk of persecution. While this provision specifically applies to refugees, the second paragraph of the article allows for two exceptions based on public order and public safety considerations.

 

However, with the growing influence of human rights law, the principle of non-refoulement has been interpreted more broadly over time. As reflected in key international legal instruments, this broader interpretation extends to ‘everyone’ without exception. The case law of regional human rights courts has significantly contributed to this expansive understanding, solidifying non-refoulement as a fundamental principle of human rights law and international customary law.

 

The ECtHR interprets the principle of non-refoulement within the framework of Article 3 of the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR), which prohibits torture and ill-treatment in an absolute manner. In this regard the ECtHR has adjudicated cases involving both generalized violence and national security concerns. These rulings affirm that the principle of non-refoulement constitutes a non-derogable obligation under the regional law of the Council of Europe, of which Türkiye is a member.

 

The principle of non-refoulement is a fundamental and binding principle of the international protection regime, ensuring that no one is returned to a territory where they would face a risk of persecution, torture, inhuman treatment, or punishment. Türkiye upholds this principle through legal guarantees enshrined in Article 17 of its Constitution, Articles 4 and 55 of the LFIP, and Article 6 of the TPR.

 

End of Temporary Protection

 

As reflected in its name, temporary protection is granted for a limited period; however, determining the exact duration is not always possible. In the 1990s, it was widely accepted that temporary protection should not extend beyond five years, whereas the current upper limit is generally set at three years. The EU Temporary Protection Directive (EU TPD) also stipulates a maximum protection period of three years, provided that the reasons for temporary protection persist (EU TPD Art. 4). However, following the Ukraine crisis, EU practice has shifted towards extending this duration despite ongoing legal debates.

 

In contrast, Turkish national legislation does not specify a maximum time limit for the temporary protection regime (TPR, Art. 10). Temporary protection may cease either individually or collectively. In cases of collective cessation, the President may terminate temporary protection upon the proposal of the Ministry of Interior (TPR, Art. 11). Following such a decision, the President also determines the durable solution for beneficiaries of temporary protection, which may include: full cessation to facilitate return to the country of origin, collective granting of status, individual assessment of applications for international protection, or the provision of a legal right to stay under the conditions outlined in the LFIP). According to the Temporary Protection Regulation, the primary expectation after cessation is the return of beneficiaries to their home countries (TPR, Art. 14). The TPR further mandates that authorities provide the necessary facilitation and assistance for those opting for voluntary repatriation (TPR, Art. 42). The grounds for individual termination of temporary protection include voluntarily leaving Türkiye, availing protection of a third country, being admitted to a third country for humanitarian reasons or resettlement, passing away, or acquiring a legal right to stay or Turkish citizenship as stipulated in the law (TPR, Art. 12).

 

Voluntary Repatriation and Return

 

Voluntary repatriation is a key concept in situations where the conditions that initially necessitated protection in the host country no longer exist in the country of origin. In the context of international protection, the international community, particularly the UNHCR, recognizes three durable solutions: voluntary repatriation, local integration, and resettlement. While the Global Compact on Refugees expands these solutions with the inclusion of ‘complementary pathways’, voluntary repatriation remains the most widely favoured durable solution by the states. This preference is reaffirmed not only in UNHCR Executive Committee conclusions but also promoted by the international community in the Global Compact on Refugees, which emphasizes facilitating the sustainability of returns.

 

The 1951 Convention does not explicitly address voluntary repatriation. However, international human rights law establishes the fundamental principle that no individual shall be deprived of the right to return to their own country (UDHR, Art. 13/2; ICCPR, Art. 12/4; CERD, Art. 5/d; ECHR, Protocol No. 4, Art. 3/2; African Charter on Human and Peoples’ Rights, Art. 12/2; American Convention on Human Rights, Art. 22/5). The key element of this process is its ‘voluntary’ nature - meaning the return must be based on the free will of the individual. Consequently, as highlighted by UNHCR, voluntary repatriation can only be considered a viable solution under international law if conditions in the country of return ensure the safety, dignity, and rights of returnees.

 

Although voluntary repatriation and cessation are distinct legal procedures related to refugee returns, they are closely interconnected. Article 1(C) of the 1951 Convention specifically regulates cessation in cases where international protection is no longer necessary or justified. In the Turkish legal framework the conditions necessitating the cessation of international protection are stipulated for refugee, conditional refugee and subsidiary protection statuses in Article 85 of the LFIP in line with the 1951 Convention. Return to the country of origin after the termination of temporary protection, which is regulated in Article 14 of the TPR, can also be considered as a form of cessation. This is because when the circumstances that necessitated international protection no longer exist, protection ceases, making return to the country of origin a natural outcome.

 

On the other hand, there are no uniform rules regarding the modality of voluntary repatriation. Relevant material and procedural conditions may vary depending on government policies. While return is always possible, ‘repatriation’ refers specifically to the facilitation of return. According to its Statute, UNHCR is tasked with promoting voluntary repatriation (UNHCR Statute, Art. 8/c).  Yet UNHCR verifies the following essential conditions before engaging in the voluntary repatriation of refugees: (i) changes of a profound nature in the country of origin, (ii) voluntary nature of the decision to return, (iii) timely dialogue between the host country, the country of origin and UNHCR and clear allocation of responsibilities through a tripartite agreement, and (iv) ensuring that the safety and dignity of returnees are respected.

 

UNHCR Handbook on Voluntary Repatriation emphasises the importance of ensuring that return is voluntary, safe, dignified, sustainable, and durable. These standards are also underlined in relevant literature (see: here, here, here and here). Moreover the voluntary nature of return means that it must be an informed choice rather than a result of reduced assistance and unbearable conditions in the host country. This requires the transparent provision of detailed information about security and living conditions in the country of origin to potential returnees. Dignified return necessitates guarantees against potential violations of the individual’s rights, whereas, according to UNHCR, safe return is only possible when three elements are met: legal, physical, and material safety. Physical safety requires a secure environment that ensures freedom of movement and access to territory. Legal safety entails equal treatment upon return. Material safety is established through access to humanitarian assistance. These factors are directly proportional to progress in improving security and living conditions in the country of origin. Regarding the threshold for improvement in conditions, UNHCR Discussion Note considers a “general improvement in the situation of the country of origin so that return in safety is both possible and desired” sufficient (UNHCR Discussion Note, para. 8.A.i). However, this threshold is open to criticism for being lower than the one expected for cessation while it is argued that repatriation should not take place before the circumstances have changed.  On the other hand, sustainable return could be achieved through facilitating and monitoring the reintegration of returnees.

 

In short, voluntary repatriation is a solution that can be implemented when, based on an objective assessment, the circumstances that led to displacement no longer exist, return is deemed feasible and in line with the principle of non-refoulement, and the process takes place in a safe and dignified manner. Accordingly, individuals’ return decisions will be shaped by these conditions.

 

Expectations for Return of Syrians to Their Country in the Short Term After the Fall of the Assad Regime and Relevant Obligations

 

As a country that has suffered extensive damage from conflicts, Syria remains unstable, with significant uncertainty about its future. Currently it is impossible to predict when voluntary repatriation will become a viable option for the beneficiaries of temporary protection. Several factors must be considered as a priority, including the uncertainty over which actor/s will control different parts of the county, the accommodation and housing needs of returnees, existing infrastructural deficiencies, and the limited availability of employment and livelihoods opportunities.

 

UNHCR reported the return of 270,000 Syrians from the neighbouring countries to Syria as of 5 February 2025 including 81,576 returnees from Türkiye. However, it remains unclear whether these returns are permanent. Many Syrians may have travelled back their home country to assess conditions, visiting their homes while waiting for the summer holiday to bring their children and other family members along. Despite these numbers, it is too early to draw optimistic conclusions in the short term.

 

Accordingly, certain factors need to be considered for a realistic plan:

 

Respect for legal obligations and the principle of non-refoulement:

 

As outlined above, the principle of non-refoulement, governed by Article 33 of the 1951 Convention, is reinforced by fundamental human rights principles. This protection is embodied in the Turkish legislation and the ECHR. Legal provisions safeguarding the right to life and prohibiting torture impose a duty on states to protect individuals from potential violations of these rights. In line with this, both the Turkish Constitutional Court (TCC) and the ECtHR have issued recent rulings assessing whether national authorities have adequately reviewed and corroborated applicants’ claims regarding the violation of their right to life or the risk of torture or ill-treatment upon return to conflict areas. (See A.A. ve A.A.; Abdulkerim Hammud; Hüsam İbrahim; Ali Elhüseyin cases by the TCC and L.M. and others v. Russia; M.D. and others v. Russia; Akkad v. Turkey cases by the ECtHR)

 

Therefore, regardless of whether temporary protection terminates collectively or individually, the State’s obligations under international law remain in effect. In all cases, states are required to uphold their legal commitments and respect the principle of non-refoulement. Moreover, returnees should be provided with comprehensive information and guidance to ensure their informed consent for safe and dignified return, thereby mitigating the risk of human rights violations.

 

States can facilitate “go-and-see” visits after conflicts end, allowing potential returnees to assess security conditions, find accommodation, seek employment or check the general situation in their home countries. Some of the visits facilitated by the Turkish Ministry of Interior after the fall of the Assad regime can be considered within this scope. The conditions of such exploratory visits are also included in the EU temporary protection framework.

 

Planning for processing of individual applications of those in need of protection:

 

Under the TPR the beneficiaries of temporary protection are not permitted to file individual asylum applications, and applications submitted before the TPR came into force cannot be processed (TPR, Art. 16 and Provisional Art. 1). In the event of collective termination of temporary protection, it should be a priority to plan how to process individual applications of those in need of international protection and what steps to take for those who no longer have a legal right to stay in the country. Since circumstances will vary on a case-by-case basis, status determination procedures must be initiated for those who claiming to be unable to return return due to their ongoing need for international protection. Assessments may be conducted on an individual or family basis to determine the place of origin (in this case, in Syria) and to establish whether it is safe for return, whether such individuals qualify for international protection, and if eligible, what status will be granted to them. These procedures will be essential in ensuring that protection needs are met while maintaining compliance with legal obligations.

 

Adoption of realistic approaches and transparent provision of information both to Syrians and the society:

 

Historical examples demonstrate that the return of Syrians is likely to be a realistic option only in the medium to long term. Past mass influx experiences have shown that states often hold overly optimistic expectations regarding safe and rapid returns. For instance, it took more than a decade for approximately 2 million temporarily protected Bosnians to return to Bosnia and Herzegovina following the Yugoslav crisis. Similarly, the return of those forcibly displaced due to conflicts in Burundi, Cambodia, Liberia, and South Sudan was also a prolonged process.  These examples suggest that adopting a cautious approach rather than an overly optimistic one would provide a more realistic perspective.

 

The UNHCR’s Position on Returns to Syria, published in December 2024, highlights that Syria is not yet safe for large-scale voluntary repatriation, emphasizing that returns should only begin once security, societal, and humanitarian issues are adequately addressed (para. 3). That said, it would also be inaccurate to portray the return of Syrians as an impossible prospect as repatriation to safe areas remains a possibility when based on informed consent. However, states, UNHCR, and relevant stakeholders must work together to facilitate returns through a multi-stage plan with a realistic timeline.

 

Ensuring sustainable reintegration of voluntarily returning returnees:

 

Furthermore, the sustainability of returns to Syria depends on development support for Syria and increased assistance and support to Türkiye, rather than the symbolic funding allocated in recent years. Even as of 2019, Turkish authorities reported having spent $40 billion on supporting Syrians in Türkiye. Meanwhile, following the destruction caused by internal conflicts and international sanctions, the estimated cost of reconstruction in Syria ranges between $250 billion and $400 billion.

 

Significant infrastructure development, well-equipped human resources, and targeted development assistance will be essential for any new government in Syria to create conditions conducive to return and stabilize the country. To secure such assistance from the international community, the new government must establish an inclusive and democratic regime.

 

Conclusion

 

There is a perception that large-scale returns to Syria will take place soon. However, given the situation on the ground, this is dependent on political, economic and legal realities. Voluntary repatriation is not only a political matter but also a legal one, as it must adhere to international standards that ensure safety, dignity and sustainability. Various challenges could facilitate or hinder this process including political fragmentation, economic instability and security concerns. Above all a well-managed and inclusive reconstruction process will be essential. This process would demonstrate how a nation composed of diverse ethnic and sectarian groups, with weak sense of nationhood and limited resources, can transform into a stable and secure country within a relatively short period. Ultimately, time will determine whether large-scale voluntary repatriation to Syria will be possible. While a democratic and stable government is the ideal scenario for the future of Syria, the opposite also remains a possibility in the near future.

 

 

Saturday, 8 February 2025

Hands On, Eyes Closed? CJEU Grand Chamber hearing on Frontex’s role in unlawful pushbacks (WS and Others v Frontex, C-679/23 P)

 


Jan-Hendrik Seelow, Dutch Council for Refugees*

*The Dutch Council for Refugees has closely worked with the applicant’s counsel to support the case from the beginning

Photo credit: Francesco Placco, via Wikimedia Commons


Introduction

It is a few minutes after 9 a.m. and the Grand Chamber is still buzzing with morning energy. While Counsels of the parties have just convened in the back room for an introductory briefing, the courtroom is filling up. Many of the seats are occupied; students, other interested visitors and a number of media representatives are present. A larger group were visiting the European Commission and could not miss the hearing. Some members of the two legal teams who did not attend the morning's preliminary briefing are eagerly rummaging in their bags, spreading out documents, and are accompanied minutely by cameras, microphones hovering above them on long poles.

The interest in today's hearing is undeniably high, and not without good reason. What is at stake today is nothing less than the question of whether Frontex itself can be held liable for its involvement - the extent of which must also be assessed - in illegal pushbacks. Frontex, as an EU agency and as the ‘eyes and ears’ of the EU at its external borders, certainly plays a representative role and should, like any other Union institution, be obliged to respect fundamental rights and the rule of law. And the EU Court of Justice most certainly has jurisdiction with respect to its compliance in that regard.

In October 2016, a Syrian family of six, two parents and four children, arrived in Greece, where their asylum application was registered. Just eleven days later, Frontex and Greek authorities placed them on a flight to Türkiye, without processing their asylum request or issuing a return decision. Upon arrival, the family was immediately detained. In 2021, after unsuccessful attempts of seeking justice through Frontex’s complaint mechanism, the family filed a claim for damages against Frontex based on Article 268 TFEU (non-contractual liability of EU bodies).

The EU General Court (GC) issued its judgment on September 6, 2023, focussing on only one of the three conditions for non-contractual liability within the Court’s jurisprudence: the conduct must be unlawful, actual damage must have been suffered, and there must be a causal link between the alleged conduct and pleaded damage. That Court chose to focus on the causal link, instead of first establishing the unlawful conduct that the applicants challenged. Highlighting that, as regards return operations, “Frontex’s task is only to provide technical and operational support to the Member States and not to enter into the merits of return decisions”, the GC negated a causal link between the agency’s actions and damages that occurred as a result of the return. No mention was made of the fact that no formal return decision had ever been issued, a failure that went unnoticed by Frontex as it put the people – supposedly ‘returnees’ – on its plane. Critical comments were not long in coming (for example here, here), some of which on this blog (here, and here).

The family launched an appeal of the General Court’s judgment to the CJEU in November 2023. A little more than a year later, here we are, at the appeal hearing before the CJEU Grand Chamber. As a disclaimer, the following sections aim to illustrate the hearing by summarising submissions, the essence of the questions raised by the judges, and their responses – without aiming to imply underlying or hidden messages. For the sake of transparency, a recording of the hearing can be viewed here.

The hearing

Following an introduction of the President, Eleanor Sharpston takes the floor. She represents the Syrian family together with lawyers from Prakken d’Oliveira, an Amsterdam based Human Rights Law Firm. Sharpston is an English barrister with a long career in EU law. She had been Advocate General at the Court of Justice since 2006, which came to an abrupt end with Brexit. Her appearance before the Court is therefore a remarkable event in itself. When she entered the courtroom, several members of staff accorded her a heartfelt welcome.

After an appreciation to the Court for the Grand Chamber referral, Sharpston highlights the key issues of the case in simple terms. Does Frontex have to verify before a return operation that the people affected are actually subjects of a return decision? Or could anyone be on that plane? She makes very clear that these are issues of law, not of fact. The GC erred in law by assuming the application was filed against a return decision. Instead, no such decision had ever been taken. The applicants argued that it was Frontex’s own obligation to notice this and intervene accordingly.

Referring to the EU acquis, Sharpston pleads that – had everything gone according to law – the family would have remained in Greece for a processing of their asylum application, and eventually received proper protection and social support. Emphasis clearly lies on the question: which obligations of its own does Frontex have before, during and after any operation it is involved in? Whilst the reporting obligations after an operation are vital, had they proactively monitored the operation, discovered that there was a flagrant error in the return (the absence of a return decision) and intervened accordingly, no damage would have occurred. These are – according to Sharpston – ‘obligations of result’ and not satisfied with a ‘nice try’.

Frontex takes the floor. The agency hired Dr. Bertrand Wägenbaur, a German lawyer leading the CJEU litigation at Alber & Geiger. From his remarks, it swiftly transpires that both parties focus on the question of where the line is drawn between the competences of the member states and Frontex in relation to return measures. While Sharpston concentrates on Frontex's individual obligations under its own regulation, Wägenbaur focuses on the division of competences underlying the EU acquis.

Although these questions overlap and a differentiation may seem purely semantic, they represent two different perspectives that are taken here. Frontex points towards Article 4(3) TFEU which enshrines the principle of sincere cooperation. The agency, having received a list of people that had not applied for asylum, could not take the role of some ‘guardian’ that ensures that the member states have done their ‘homework’ properly. He admits that it would be a mistake should Frontex ‘look to the ceiling’ and find all and everything to be the competency of member states. But in this case, according to Wägenbaur, the agency had in fact received a list of people which it did not have to verify further. He therefore limits Frontex’s own obligations to those of operational manner, save highly exceptional circumstances. Question remains, what would be those highly exceptional circumstances if not removals of a family of six, with four children, while their asylum application is still pending? Does Frontex not have monitoring functions? And who supervises Frontex, if not this Court?

The very first question from the row of judges concerns the admissibility of the appeal. Challenging the assumption of the GC that the application was directed toward a return decision might be a question of fact rather than of law. Barrister Sharpston takes the stand to reply that the GC, in first instance, made the ‘legal assumption’ that the first instance claim was a challenge to a return decision, which is uncontestably an exclusive competency of the member states. In contrast to that, the challenge was directed at Frontex conduct. To be precise, whether Frontex had fulfilled its obligations deriving from its own Regulation (Regulation (EU) 2016/1624), its Standard Operating Procedures, and its duties under the Charter of Fundamental Rights, by verifying whether there actually had been a return decision with regard the applicant family. The agency had only received a list of persons who had not applied for asylum.

A subsequent question refers to the fact that following this incident, Frontex had in fact changed its modus operandi regarding return operations and is now applying a ‘check list’ to verify, among other things, whether there has been a return decision and whether the returnee is fit to fly. Frontex elaborates on the new procedures without answering the question why they had been established, leading to a reiteration of the question: Had Frontex not previously argued that there was no need to verify lists submitted by the members states, due to the principle of sincere cooperation between them and the EU? How come the change in procedure? Frontex clearly struggles to answer the question.

At this point, the President of the Court, Koen Lenaerts, leans forward and intervenes. Frontex had previously admitted that there should be no fundamental errors in conducting return operations. The essence of the question here was whether Frontex had not the initial obligation to at least verify whether a return decision had been taken.

This brief repartee gives place to another critical question; who is to be held liable for damages? The question originates from Article 42(1) Regulation 2016/1624 which holds that “Where members of the teams are operating in a host Member State, that Member State shall be liable in accordance with its national law for any damage caused by them during their operations” – seemingly conflicting with Article 60(3) of the same Regulation. The latter specifies the case of non-contractual liability: “the Agency shall, in accordance with the general principles common to the laws of the Member States, make good any damage caused by its departments or by its staff in the performance of their duties”. Barrister Sharpston provides in essence that, while these articles may appear contradictory at first glance, the provision on civil liability may refer to ‘breaking a vase’ rather than damages occurring through fundamental rights violations. Article 60(3) would pay tribute to the shared responsibility of both parties during operations and develop appropriate standards that allow for holding Frontex liable for damages occurring from a breach of its own laws and provisions.

After this rather academic debate, as it was called by President Lenaerts, the discussion circles back to the question who bear(s) primary responsibility for ensuring the lawfulness of a return operation. The question is posed, should we accept that the member states have primary responsibility, does that mean that Frontex has none at all? Do they have some sort of individual obligation? Or is there a third way? Wägenbaur responds that Frontex, compared to the member states, had a ‘considerably smaller amount of responsibility’. The judge intervenes – does Regulation 2016/1624 not establish that Frontex, additional to the member states, can be held liable? Or can only the member state be held liable for the totality of the operation? Of course, Wägenbaur admits, Frontex cannot be sheltered from any liability whatsoever. But he repeats that the agency had received and seen a list of people who had not requested asylum.

The fact that Frontex operated on the basis of such list without conducting any further verification leads to the last question that this contribution will reflect upon, a question that may stem from more willingness to put oneself, imaginably, in the situation at stake. Even if Frontex had, one of the judges asks, received a list of people that had not applied for asylum, how likely is it that a family of six, with four kids, would not ask for asylum after all the trouble (risking their lives on a boat) they went through, and then choose to be returned? Should this not have triggered further monitoring or even suspicion than to basing the return operation simply on that list? After being pointed to the fact that this question does not concern cases in abstract, but a particular incident, a particular family and their story, Frontex submits that the agency provides a channel for complaints, an immediate link between individuals and the agency. This triggers a follow-up: How would such a complaint mechanism work in a situation where the applicants do not even know what is happening to them? Had they not believed to be brought to Athens?

The Court’s President brings all people in the Grand Chamber on that day back on the same track. He summarises the discussions in simple terms. The matter at hand is not about abstract questions of joint or shared responsibility for failures during return operations, but the liability of Frontex for failing its own obligations. Eleanor Sharpston emphasises that the questions underlying the appeal are, in fact, simple questions. She calls the attempts by Frontex to complicate and distort the family’s arguments ‘Strohmann’ attempts. “I think the Court has seen through that”, Sharpston concludes. Her eyes beam through the room one last time. On her head, she wears the typical Irish wig, tribute to her praxis as barrister. Frontex’ representatives, led by Wägenbaur, will have to remain in the room to defend Frontex again, in the hearing for the appeal in Hamoudi v Frontex, which immediately follows. The Advocate General will deliver her opinion on the 12th of June.


Saturday, 21 December 2024

No surprises here! What is discretionary remains discretionary in the CJEU’s first judgment on temporary protection

 


 

Dr Meltem Ineli Ciger, Associate Professor, Suleyman Demirel University

 

Photo credit: Francisco Anzola, via Wikimedia Commons

 

On 19 December 2024, the Court of Justice of the European Union gave its judgment in Joined cases C-244/24 and C-290/24 Kaduna. This is the first judgment delivered by the Court on the Council Directive 2001/55/EC of 20 July 2001 (Temporary Protection Directive- TPD) and its application by the Member States towards persons forcibly displaced from Ukraine. The judgment clarifies important issues concerning the application of Article 7(1) of the Temporary Protection Directive which enables Member States to extend temporary protection to additional groups besides those covered by the Council decision triggering temporary protection, provided that those additional groups are displaced for the same reasons and from the same country or region of origin as those covered by the Council decision. It further answers crucial questions on the termination of the temporary protection granted to persons benefitting from temporary protection who does not fall within the scope of Article 2(1) and 2(2) of the Implementing Decision (EU) 2022/382 of 4 March 2022 establishing the existence of a mass influx of displaced persons from Ukraine i.e. persons who were holding temporary residence permits in Ukraine and the lawfulness of the return decisions adopted in their regard.

 

Who is eligible for temporary protection status in the EU?

 

First, let me remind you of the eligibility criteria for temporary protection in the EU. When the Temporary Protection Directive is activated, the Council decides which groups of displaced persons qualify for the temporary protection status in the EU, as per Article 5 of the Directive. The Council did this by adopting the Implementing Decision (EU) 2022/382 on 4 March 2022. According to Article 2(1) of the Implementing Decision, the following categories of persons displaced from Ukraine on or after 24 February 2022, as a result of the military invasion by Russian armed forces that began on that date, are eligible for temporary protection:

 

-       Ukrainian nationals residing in Ukraine before 24 February 2022 and their family members; and

-       stateless persons, and nationals of third countries other than Ukraine, who benefited from international protection or equivalent national protection in Ukraine before 24 February 2022, and their family members.

 

Besides the outlined groups, according to Article 2(2) of the Implementing Decision, Member States should grant either temporary protection or a national protection status to stateless persons, and nationals of third countries other than Ukraine, who can prove that they were legally residing in Ukraine before 24 February 2022 on the basis of a valid permanent residence permit issued in accordance with Ukrainian law, and who are unable to return in safe and durable conditions to their country or region of origin.  

 

There are also persons fleeing Ukraine who can be granted temporary protection at the discretion of the Member States. As per Article 2(3), Member States can grant temporary protection status to “other persons who were residing legally in Ukraine and who are unable to return in safe and durable conditions to their country or region of origin.” This is in line with Article 7 of the TPD which allows Member States to extend temporary protection to additional displaced persons from the same region, provided they promptly notify the Council and Commission. In the judgment (para 94, 100), Article 2(1) and Article (2) of the Implementing Decision are defined as mandatory temporary protection clauses whereas, temporary protection granted on the basis of Article 2(3) of the Implementing Decision or Article 7 of the TPD is referred to as optional temporary protection. Member States such as Finland, Portugal and Spain not just the Netherlands made use of Article 2(3) of the Implementing Decision and some others such as Germany and the Czech Republic followed Article 7 of the Temporary Protection Directive and granted optional temporary protection to various groups fleeing Ukraine in the beginning of the mass influx situation.

 

Cases C-244/24 and C-290/24

 

Both cases referred to the CJEU concern third-country nationals holding temporary resident permits in Ukraine who have been granted temporary protection in the Netherlands despite not falling within Articles 2(1) and (2) of the Council Implementing Decision. In Case C-244/24, the CJEU examined the legal implications of temporary protection for a Nigerian national (P) who fled Ukraine to the Netherlands following the Russian invasion. P held a temporary residence permit in Ukraine until January 2023 and was granted temporary protection by the Dutch authorities without assessing his ability to return to his country of origin. P applied for asylum in August 2022, but the Dutch authorities did not decide on the application in August 2023. Simultaneously, his temporary protection was terminated with effect from 4 September 2023 and he was issued a return decision on 7 February 2024. P challenged this decision, arguing it was premature and violated his rights under EU law, specifically since the Implementing Decision (EU) 2023/2409 extended temporary protection until 4 March 2025. One should also note that, as of December 2024, the temporary protection regime is extended until 4 March 2026 with the Council Implementing Decision (EU) 2024/1836 of 25 June 2024.

 

In Case C-244/24, the Court was asked whether Article 6 of the Return Directive prohibits a Member State from adopting a return decision against a person who still has lawful residence under temporary protection. It further inquired whether it makes a difference if the return decision specifies that it will only take effect after the legal stay ends. Secondly, the Court was asked to clarify whether Article 1 of Council Implementing Decision 2023/2409, which extended EU-wide temporary protection until 4 March 2025, also applies to optional temporary protection status holders even if the Member State later decided to revoke their temporary protection before this extension (para 85).

 

In Case C-290/24, the CJEU also has been asked about the scope of optional temporary protection beneficiary categories and the implications of its cessation by Member States. The case concerned three third-country nationals (AI, ZY, and BG) who held temporary residence permits in Ukraine on 24 February 2022. They fled to the Netherlands after the Russian invasion, where they were granted temporary protection under Dutch legislation without assessing their ability to return safely to their countries of origin. However, on 7 February 2024, the Dutch State Secretary issued return decisions for all three individuals, requiring them to leave the EU within four weeks of 4 March 2024. The case reached the Dutch Council of State after conflicting lower court rulings. The Council of State referred the matter to the CJEU, raising questions about the duration and termination of temporary protection for those who fall within the optional temporary protection categories. The referred question was whether the Temporary Protection Directive requires optional temporary protection to continue during EU-wide extensions, or can a Member State terminate such optional protection early (para 93). The President of the Court decided to join these cases on 7 May 2024.

 

Questions addressed by the CJEU and the overview of the judgment

 

1.     Can temporary residence permit holders who fled Ukraine shortly before 24 February 2022 be granted temporary protection on the basis of Article 7 of the Temporary Protection Directive regardless of whether they could return to their country or region of origin in safe and sustainable conditions? (para 93-101)

 

The Court answered this question positively. It noted that Article 7(1) of the Temporary Protection Directive allows Member States to extend temporary protection to categories of persons not designated by the Council, provided they fled for the same reasons and from the same region or country. The Netherlands granted temporary protection to all holders of a Ukrainian residence permit, including temporary ones that were valid on 23 February 2022 and likely to have left Ukraine after 26 November 2021 (90 days before the invasion).  The Court confirms this is in line with the Council Implementing Decision 2022/382 recital 14, which encourages extending protection to those who fled shortly before 24 February 2022 (para 99) and partially also corresponds to Article 2(3) of the Council Implementing Decision.

 

2.     When can the Member States terminate optional temporary protection granted on the basis of Article 7 of the Temporary Protection Directive? (para 102-135)

 

To address this question, the Court first clarified that the temporary protection granted under Article 7(1) of the TPD does not result from an obligation laid down by EU law but from the autonomous decision of a Member State (para 111). According to the Court, Article 7 of the Directive gives Member States considerable discretion in determining who qualifies for temporary protection and for how long. Moreover, Article 7 aims to encourage Member States to broaden the categories of displaced persons eligible for temporary protection, thereby lightening the pressure on national asylum systems and preventing their collapse. The Court considered the Netherlands making use of Article 7 promoted these objectives despite limiting the protection period shorter than that of mandatory temporary protection. Based on this reasoning, the Court clarified that Member States are not required to terminate temporary protection for individuals granted protection under Article 7 at the same time as those covered by the mandatory clauses set out in Articles 2(1) and 2(2) of the Implementing Decision. This is also in line with the AG opinion (para 121, 122).

 

The Court noted Article 7(1) grants Member States the discretion to establish and withdraw temporary protection status for optional groups, as long as these actions occur within the timeframe during which temporary protection regime is in force as per the Council decisions. Moreover, the Court emphasised that a Member State may terminate temporary protection status for optional groups prior to the date on which the temporary protection regime is terminated by the Council, provided such action does not undermine the objectives or effectiveness of the Temporary Protection Directive and complies with the general principles of EU law including the principles of the protection of legitimate expectations and legal certainty. It is also noteworthy that, in interpreting a key criterion for applying and terminating temporary protection for optional categories, the objectives of the Temporary Protection Directive were identified similarly by the AG and the Court. Whilst, AG noted safeguarding of the proper functioning of the asylum systems of the Member States as the objective of the TPD, the Court identified it as “to preserve the proper functioning of the system of international protection within the Member States” (para 125).

The Court emphasised that persons enjoying optional temporary protection should be given a right to apply for international protection during or after the termination of the temporary protection regime and their applications must be decided.  

 

3.     Can a Member State issue a return decision for a temporary protection beneficiary even if the return decision specifies that it will only take effect after the temporary protection regime ends? (para 136-158)

 

The Court noted that Article 6 of the Return Directive only applies to individuals who are staying illegally in a Member State thus, as long as an individual is legally residing under optional temporary protection, a return decision cannot be issued. This restriction applies even if the return decision specifies that it will only take effect after the individual’s legal residence ends. The Court stressed that issuing a return decision prematurely undermines procedural safeguards and fails to respect the legal rights of individuals while their residence is still lawful. Moreover, the Court also noted that beneficiaries of optional temporary protection must enjoy the same rights as those covered under mandatory temporary protection, including a residence permit ensuring their legal stay until protection is formally withdrawn. Until their protection status ends, they remain lawful residents, and return decisions are therefore inadmissible. Finally, the Court concluded that even if a Member State seeks to prepare for the end of optional temporary protection by issuing a return decision in advance, such action violates EU law.  

 

Analysis

 

As the title of this post suggests, the judgment and the way the Court addressed the outlined questions are not surprising. The decision also mostly aligns with the opinion of the AG.

  

Temporary protection, unlike international protection, is a time-limited, exceptional and discretionary protection framework only to be applied in mass influx situations. While the Council determines the categories of beneficiaries and the duration of the temporary protection regime within the EU, the Court confirmed that Member States retain discretion to decide which additional groups, beyond those identified by the Council as ‘mandatory categories’, may benefit from temporary protection on the basis of Article 7 and for how long they may enjoy it. However, as the Court underlined, this discretion is not without limits. The following principles must be observed when determining the termination of temporary protection for optional groups:

 

-       Member States may independently terminate temporary protection for optional groups before the official end date of the EU-wide temporary protection regime established by the Council. However, such actions must comply with EU principles, including legal certainty, and must not undermine the objectives or effectiveness of the Temporary Protection Directive.

-       Temporary protection beneficiaries should be able to apply for international protection during or after the end of the temporary protection and asylum applications must be processed.

-       All temporary protection beneficiaries irrespective of falling into the mandatory or optional category must enjoy the same rights and this includes access to a residence permit allowing legal stay until their temporary protection is formally withdrawn.

-       Return decisions can only be issued to individuals who are staying illegally in a Member State. While beneficiaries of optional temporary protection remain lawful residents, issuing return decisions, even those with a delayed effect, may violate EU law.

According to the Commission, as of the end of October 2024, 4.2 million people fleeing Ukraine due to the Russian war of aggression were under temporary protection in EU countries. Of these, 98.3% were Ukrainian nationals. This indicates that the judgment concerns a very small percentage of individuals granted temporary protection in the EU and only a handful of Member States which broadened the scope of the temporary protection regime. Nevertheless, the Court’s interpretation of Article 6 of the Return Directive raises important points that may become increasingly relevant in the future, particularly when the Council decides to terminate temporary protection for Ukrainians. The Court clearly established that no return decisions are to be adopted before the termination of the temporary protection regime.  It is important for all temporary protection status holders to be given an opportunity to claim asylum and their applications are examined and decided before their removal.

 

Although the legal reasoning of the Court in this judgment, at least in my opinion, is justified, there is an interesting point: both AG opinion (para 27-34, 112) and the judgment (para 65-66) mention Article 4 and the extension of the temporary protection until 2026 as a matter of fact, but none of these texts questions or engages with the question whether the extension of temporary protection is in line with Article 4 of the TPD and EU law. As an author who argued that the extension of the temporary protection until 2026, ie beyond three years, contravenes Article 4 of the Temporary Protection Directive, it is indeed interesting that both the Court and the Advocate-General did not discuss the legality of such an extension but merely acknowledged the existence of it. Perhaps this is a question which should be referred to the CJEU in the future.